Context
- Lack of direction
- Conflicts
- Ecosystem approach
Strategy
What is Foresight?
Foresight is a systematic, participatory, future-intelligence-gathering and medium-to-long-term vision-building process aimed at enabling present-day decisions and mobilizing joint actions. It can be envisaged as a triangle combining “Thinking the Future”, “Debating the Future” and “Shaping the Future”.
Foresight is neither prophecy nor prediction. It does not aim to predict the future – to unveil it as if it were predetermined – but to help us build it. It invites us to consider the future as something that we can create or shape, rather than as something already decided.
Foresight enhances existing policy and planning methods:
- by broadening our horizon;
- by opening up space for other stakeholders in the future and
- by offering a platform to start negotiating values, perspectives and vested interests right from the beginning of our response to or initiation of change.
Why foresight?
The four major areas where foresight can make an important contribution to the work of public bureaucracies:
1. Alignment of Development Visions
Foresight provides mechanisms, processes and methods for the kind of engagement that development visioning requires and citizens demand
2. Anticipatory Governance and Strategic Management
Foresight enables governments to anticipate some of these emerging trends and to evaluate the implications and impact of their policies under different circumstances. By doing so, foresight helps leaders make better decisions and regain a sense of direction over the future of their nation.
3. Resilient Policy Planning
Foresight is emerging as one of the approaches to infuse classical policy planning with a manageable dose of uncertainty and unpredictability.
4. Policy and Public Services Innovation
Recently, foresight has been coupled with a new wave of technological, social and public innovation, creating an electrifying new field of application.